Projected climate change scenario over California by a regional ocean–atmosphere coupled model system     

Haiqin Li  Masao Kanamitsu  Song-You Hong  Kei Yoshimura  Daniel R. Cayan  Vasubandhu Misra  Liqiang Sun 《Climatic change》2014,122(4):609-619

This study examines a future climate change scenario over California in a 10-km coupled regional downscaling system of the Regional Spectral Model for the atmosphere and the Regional Ocean Modeling System for the ocean forced by the global Community Climate System Model version 3.0 (CCSM3). In summer, the coupled and uncoupled downscaled experiments capture the warming trend of surface air temperature, consistent with the driving CCSM3 forcing. However, the surface warming change along the California coast is weaker in the coupled downscaled experiment than it is in the uncoupled downscaling. Atmospheric cooling due to upwelling along the coast commonly appears in both the present and future climates, but the effect of upwelling is not fully compensated for by the projected large-scale warming in the coupled downscaling experiment. The projected change of extreme warm events is quite different between the coupled and uncoupled downscaling experiments, with the former projecting a more moderate change. The projected future change in precipitation is not significantly different between coupled and uncoupled downscaling. Both the coupled and uncoupled downscaling integrations predict increased onshore sea breeze change in summer daytime and reduced offshore land breeze change in summer nighttime along the coast from the Bay area to Point Conception. Compared to the simulation of present climate, the coupled and uncoupled downscaling experiments predict 17.5 % and 27.5 % fewer Catalina eddy hours in future climate respectively.  相似文献   

New chronological constraints for Cryogenian to Cambrian rocks in the Three Gorges,Weng'an and Chengjiang areas,South China     

《Gondwana Research》2014,25(3):1027-1044

The Neoproterozoic and Cambrian were two of the most dramatic periods in the history of the Earth, because large multi-cellular animals first appeared then in the so-called “Cambrian Explosion”. To better understand this event, many paleontological and geochemical studies now focus on rocks in South China, because of the fossiliferous succession and good exposure. Since the recognition of the Yangtze Gorges and Chengjiang area as type localities of the Sinian (Ediacaran) and Meishucunian (Early Cambrian) Systems, both sections have been intensively investigated. In order to decipher the relationships between the evolution of life and surface environmental changes, it is necessary to understand their paleontological, geochemical and geo-chronological constraints.This study presents new chronological constraints for the Cryogenian to Cambrian rocks in the Three Gorges, Weng'an and Chengjiang areas, South China. We discovered two tuff layers, one at the base of the Shuijingtuo Fm at Three Gorges and the other at the bottom of the Dahai Member in Chengjiang. In addition, we collected sandstones from Neoproterozoic strata in the Three Gorges, Chengjiang and Weng'an areas for provenance analysis. Zircons, separated from the tuff layers, provide new Nano-SIMS U–Pb ages of 526.4 ± 5.4 Ma at the base of the Shuijingtuo Fm, and 523.9 ± 6.7 Ma at the bottom of the Dahai Member. The tuffaceous beds occur at an unconformity, and nodules are common in the Three Gorges, Meishucun and Taoying sections, indicating that major and relatively wide-scale volcanic and sedimentological events occurred at ca. 525 Ma. Moreover, carbonate carbon isotope chemostratigraphies at Morocco, Siberia, Three Gorges and Meishucun display different characteristics during the Tommotian. One possibility is that the South China Ocean was separated from an outer ocean at that time. Detrital zircons in sandstones have age populations at ca. 2.7, 1.8, 1.6, 1.0 and from 0.9 to 0.75 Ga. indicating that the paleo-hinterland of the Nanhua and Kangdian rift basins was geologically complex. Despite the lack of ca. 1.6 Ga rocks in the Yangtze and Cathaysia Blocks, these data are nevertheless interpreted to indicate derivation of the zircons from basement rocks in the Yangtze craton.  相似文献   

横断山脉地区霜冻时空分布变化特征分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王炳赟  ;范广洲  ;魏鸣  ;华维  ;赵衍斌 《四川气象》2014,(2):17-21

以小于等于0℃的地面气温作为霜冻的指标,利用1961～2007年横断山脉27个气象监测站逐日温度资料分析了横断山脉初、终霜期和无霜期的变化特征.结果表明,该地区平均初霜期以1.09d/10a气候倾向率推迟,终霜期以4.02d/10a的气候倾向率提早,无霜期以4.08d/10a的气候倾向率延长,存在较明显的地域差异.从年代际变化来看,自20世纪90年代开始,初霜冻日期20世纪90年代明显推迟,终霜冻日期明显提早,无霜冻期明显延长。  相似文献   

UV camera measurements of fumarole field degassing (La Fossa crater,Vulcano Island)     

G. Tamburello  E.P. Kantzas  A.J.S. McGonigle  A. Aiuppa  G. Giudice 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》2011,199(1-2):47-52

The UV camera is becoming an important new tool in the armory of volcano geochemists to derive high time resolution SO₂ flux measurements. Furthermore, the high camera spatial resolution is particularly useful for exploring multiple-source SO₂ gas emissions, for instance the composite fumarolic systems topping most quiescent volcanoes. Here, we report on the first SO₂ flux measurements from individual fumaroles of the fumarolic field of La Fossa crater (Vulcano Island, Aeolian Island), which we performed using a UV camera in two field campaigns: in November 12, 2009 and February 4, 2010. We derived ~ 0.5 Hz SO₂ flux time-series finding fluxes from individual fumaroles, ranging from 2 to 8.7 t d^?1, with a total emission from the entire system of ~ 20 t d^?1 and ~ 13 t d^?1, in November 2009 and February 2010 respectively. These data were augmented with molar H₂S/SO₂, CO₂/SO₂ and H₂O/SO₂ ratios, measured using a portable MultiGAS analyzer, for the individual fumaroles. Using the SO₂ flux data in tandem with the molar ratios, we calculated the flux of volcanic species from individual fumaroles, and the crater as a whole: CO₂ (684 t d^?1 and 293 t d^?1), H₂S (8 t d^?1 and 7.5 t d^?1) and H₂O (580 t d^?1 and 225 t d^?1).  相似文献   

Prediction of soil properties using imaging spectroscopy: Considering fractional vegetation cover to improve accuracy     

《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2015

Spectroscopic techniques have become attractive to assess soil properties because they are fast, require little labor and may reduce the amount of laboratory waste produced when compared to conventional methods. Imaging spectroscopy (IS) can have further advantages compared to laboratory or field proximal spectroscopic approaches such as providing spatially continuous information with a high density. However, the accuracy of IS derived predictions decreases when the spectral mixture of soil with other targets occurs. This paper evaluates the use of spectral data obtained by an airborne hyperspectral sensor (ProSpecTIR-VS – Aisa dual sensor) for prediction of physical and chemical properties of Brazilian highly weathered soils (i.e., Oxisols). A methodology to assess the soil spectral mixture is adapted and a progressive spectral dataset selection procedure, based on bare soil fractional cover, is proposed and tested. Satisfactory performances are obtained specially for the quantification of clay, sand and CEC using airborne sensor data (R² of 0.77, 0.79 and 0.54; RPD of 2.14, 2.22 and 1.50, respectively), after spectral data selection is performed; although results obtained for laboratory data are more accurate (R² of 0.92, 0.85 and 0.75; RPD of 3.52, 2.62 and 2.04, for clay, sand and CEC, respectively). Most importantly, predictions based on airborne-derived spectra for which the bare soil fractional cover is not taken into account show considerable lower accuracy, for example for clay, sand and CEC (RPD of 1.52, 1.64 and 1.16, respectively). Therefore, hyperspectral remotely sensed data can be used to predict topsoil properties of highly weathered soils, although spectral mixture of bare soil with vegetation must be considered in order to achieve an improved prediction accuracy.  相似文献   

四川盆地最大混合层厚度与大气污染物浓度的关系          下载免费PDF全文

张峥子  冯鑫媛  危诗敏 《高原山地气象研究》2020,40(4):90-96

基于2015～2018年四川盆地温江站、宜宾站、达川站和沙坪坝站的探空和地面观测资料以及同期AQI、6种主要污染物(SO₂、NO₂、CO、O₃、PM_2.5、PM₁₀)质量浓度资料,使用逐步逼近法计算得到了四川盆地成都、宜宾、达州、重庆四城市的每日最大混合层厚度(Maximum mixing depth,MMD),并对其时间变化特征及其与各种污染物浓度之间的关系进行了分析。结果表明,四川盆地年平均MMD约1200m。季节变化明显,春夏高、秋冬低。9月至次年1月MMD相对较小。相关分析显示,剔除降水影响后,MMD与AQI、PM_2.5、PM₁₀、SO₂、NO₂、CO浓度均呈负相关,而与O₃浓度显著正相关。在污染最为严重的冬季,MMD明显低于春夏季节。MMD越小、颗粒物浓度越高。低MMD大大压缩了近地面污染物的扩散空间,污染物在有限的空间内不断累积、浓度增大。   相似文献   

中国近50年气温变化准3年周期的普遍性及气温未来的可能变化趋势   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

王澄海  李健  许晓光 《高原气象》2012,31(1):126-136

利用全国98个测站的年和冬季气温资料,采用Marr小波分析方法,分析了近50年(1961—2009年)中国8个气候区的年和冬季气温变化,研究了中国气温变化的周期性,并对未来20年(2010—2029年)气温的可能变化趋势进行了预测。结果表明,我国8个气候区气温的年际变化以高频变化为主,普遍存在着准3～4年周期变化,尤其是冬季气温的准3年周期变化显著,而且这种周期变化具有相对的稳定性。而年气温的周期特征存在显著的南北差异。周期叠加外推的结果表明,未来20年,中国将继续保持增暖趋势,北方地区和青藏高原的升温要大于除西南地区外的南方地区。如果按照线性趋势升温,2010-2029年气温上升幅度不会超过1℃。  相似文献   

一次春季强寒潮的降水相态变化分析   总被引：18，自引：2，他引：16  

李江波  李根娥  裴雨杰  王福霞  王新龙  文杰 《气象》2009,35(7):87-94

应用NCEP 1°×1°资料、常规观测资料、自动站资料、多普勒天气雷达资料,对2007年3月河北省一次早春强寒潮天气背景下的降水多相态转换的成因与雨雪转换的预报进行了分析.结果表明:850hPa及以下蒙古高压和江淮气旋共同作用产生的偏东风导致低层大气温度持续下降,降水性质从雨转为雪.随着江淮气旋入海,高低空风向发生突变,从东北风转为西北风,加上太行山地形作用,使太行山东麓部分地区低层大气出现小幅升温,0℃层高度抬升,致使从雪转为雨.多普勒天气雷达回波图上,0℃层亮带高度的迅速下降,可作为从液态降水向固态降水转换的判据之一.天气学分析表明,当0℃层高度低于950hPa、地面气温在0℃上下、1000hPa温度低于2℃、925hPa温度低于-2℃时,降水性质将从雨向雨夹雪或雪转变.  相似文献   

黄土高原低值对流有效位能区中β尺度大暴雨综合分析   总被引：5，自引：4，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

井宇  井喜  屠妮妮  刘志刚  牛淑贞 《高原气象》2010,29(1):78-89

为了提高对黄土高原中β尺度暴雨的预报和预警能力,利用中国气象局气象资料综合处理MICAPS系统提供的资料及多普勒雷达资料,对2007年8月28日黄土高原在低值对流有效位能区发生的一次中β尺度暴雨天气过程进行了大尺度环境场和物理量的诊断分析以及三维流场结构分析。结果表明:这次黄土高原中β尺度大暴雨主要是由3次中β尺度强对流单体活动造成的;地面风速脉动、地面能量比高值舌配合上下游能量比大梯度区的生成,是中β尺度暴雨触发机制之一;对流层低层倾斜涡度的发展、纬向双次级环流圈的形成,为暴雨的发生、发展和维持提供了动力机制;列车效应是形成降水时间长、累积雨量大的重要因素;在多普勒雷达径向速度场上看到,暴雨区上游从对流层中层到对流层高层气旋性环流的发展和暴雨区对流层中高层西南急流的发展和稳定,也是形成暴雨的动力机制之一。  相似文献   

华北汛期水汽条件的年代际特征分析     

刘海文  田淑欣  杜建华 《山东气象》2010,30(2):1-4

利用NCEP/NCAR逐日再分析资料,使用合成分析等方法,分析了华北汛期水汽条件的年代际变化特征,结果表明：大气对华北汛期的水汽输送以及华北区域的水汽收支有明显的年代际变化。以1978年为界,先前以异常西南风对华北进行水汽输送的改变为以后的异常东北风的水汽输送,先前以异常东风水汽输送的改变为以后的异常偏西风水汽输送,先前以异常偏西风水汽输送的改变为以后的异常偏东风水汽输送。对于华北区域而言,先前由南边界和西边界的异常水汽输送,改变为以后的由北边界和东边界异常水汽输送,华北地区水汽由以前的异常水汽辐合和盈余,改变为以后的异常水汽辐散和亏损。  相似文献